Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.103143 3.276260 3.459537 3.669001 3.903009 4.157871 4.458480
2025-04-27 2.884173 3.125624 3.394279 3.718895 4.105506 4.558009 5.138488
2025-05-04 2.742592 3.038661 3.382587 3.819682 4.373111 5.070110 6.050554
2025-05-11 2.592199 2.923832 3.322989 3.852743 4.561494 5.518878 7.000297
2025-05-18 2.442327 2.794476 3.230736 3.831230 4.674451 5.889972 7.959800
2025-05-25 2.273116 2.626707 3.073690 3.705270 4.624633 6.018791 8.591036
2025-06-01 2.154396 2.513847 2.977446 3.650173 4.667019 6.296756 9.600065
2025-06-08 2.058912 2.423955 2.903601 3.617372 4.736629 6.634706 10.903011
2025-06-15 1.989644 2.363548 2.864212 3.629024 4.876465 7.130491 12.892028
2025-06-22 1.899375 2.269230 2.770506 3.549434 4.853815 7.317556 14.263781
2025-06-29 1.806779 2.166884 2.658944 3.432510 4.751837 7.324151 15.143277
2025-07-06 1.735241 2.090018 2.579267 3.358651 4.716251 7.464639 16.656472
2025-07-13 1.692735 2.055965 2.566003 3.400300 4.917925 8.249283 22.337606
2025-07-20 1.655169 2.026982 2.558535 3.451728 5.152336 9.241747 33.362609
2025-07-27 1.630129 2.014430 2.574865 3.545728 5.496305 10.766940 69.044862
2025-08-03 1.592421 1.981387 2.557342 3.579228 5.724302 12.154138 237.049591
2025-08-10 1.546948 1.934577 2.515093 3.563847 5.841828 13.292537 NaN
2025-08-17 1.485561 1.861464 2.426913 3.455744 5.721315 13.409312 NaN
2025-08-24 1.441050 1.811797 2.373751 3.408939 5.744293 14.223714 NaN
2025-08-31 1.403486 1.770984 2.332608 3.381232 5.811422 15.368872 NaN
2025-09-07 1.375951 1.744128 2.312627 3.392439 5.984204 17.389940 NaN
2025-09-14 1.335214 1.695540 2.254207 3.322691 5.924432 17.952239 NaN
2025-09-21 1.290652 1.639701 2.181451 3.219403 5.756162 17.636815 NaN